The operator of the electricity transmission network in France, however, considers the risk for the security of electricity supply in the coming weeks to be “very low” to “moderate”.
A “extension of the social movement“in nuclear power plants”would have serious consequences“on the supply of electricity to the”winter heart“, estimated this Tuesday the manager of the electricity transmission network in France RTE in a press release.
In the shorter term, RTE estimates “Very weak” a “moderate» the risk for the security of electricity supply in the coming weeks, according to the press release of the manager who presented his forecasts for the period between mid-October and mid-November. Among the reasons given for this low risk, RTE considers the appearance of early or severe colds to be “very unlikelyat the end of October, but also that “fill gas reserves in France and Europe“now it has arrived”very high levels“. In detail, RTE foresees a “Very weak“risk to security of supply for the next two weeks and a risk”moderatefor early November, noting that the main uncertainty lies in the availability of reactors currently affected by social movements.
Postponed the restart of five reactors
Indeed, the wage strike that has affected the nuclear park for several weeks can “affect the schedule for returning to production of certain reactors“, according to EDF. The electrician has already postponed the restart of five reactors. Either “The availability of the nuclear park is, on the date of October 17, exactly in accordance with the forecast of RTE for the beginning of September (…) it will be in the warehouse starting at the end of October and jusqu’à mi-novembre au less“, estimates RTE today.
The repair works of the sections of pipe and controls for the defect of stress corrosion cracking are proceeding correctly according to an evolution”favorable“. But, social movements have led “outage extensions typically two to three weeks at the reactorsto address these issues orreactor maintenance delays“. Consequence for RTE: “this will lead to lower availability than the RTE central scenario during the first part of November at the earliest“.
Another significant fact pointed out by the network manager is that structural electricity consumption (corrected for weather conditions) now shows a clear downward trend. In question, the effect of rising energy prices. This decrease especially affects the industrial sector and must continue with the sobriety plan. “This downward trend“, consumption “to be confirmed in the coming weeks», warns RTE.
On September 14, by announcing its winter scenarios, RTE had placed the security of electricity supply under greater surveillance and this, since the autumn, was an exceptional event. In a context of global energy crisis, with winter approaching, France is effectively weakened by nuclear electricity production at its lowest level due to maintenance work and corrosion problems.
However, the network administrator remains reassuring: “In the vast majority of situations, RTE only considers a few EcoWatt red flags during the six winter months“. In the event of periods of tension, the risk of outages could be avoided by reducing consumption by between 1 and 5% in the central scenario and a maximum of 15% in the most extreme scenario. Finally, RTE assures that “under no circumstances does France run the risk of a “blackout”, that is, a total loss of control of the electrical system“.
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